IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#282
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	79.3	#17
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#229

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.1	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.8%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.9	12.9	14.4

.500 or above	3.6%	12.5%	2.7%
.500 or above in Conference	4.8%	11.6%	4.1%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	49.9%	33.6%	51.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.2%	0.8%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Away) - 9.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 5	0 - 8
Quad 3	2 - 9	3 - 17
Quad 4	2 - 2	5 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 02, 2020	108	@ Pepperdine	L	78-92	9%
Dec 06, 2020	138	Pacific	L	71-76	31%
Dec 18, 2020	125	Santa Clara	L	80-86	28%
Dec 21, 2020	75	@ Utah St.	L	68-86	6%
Dec 23, 2020	75	@ Utah St.	L	68-86	6%
Dec 31, 2020	86	Boise St.	L	76-86	19%
Jan 02, 2021	86	Boise St.	L	76-86	19%
Jan 08, 2021	150	@ Fresno St.	L	69-80	18%
Jan 10, 2021	150	@ Fresno St.	L	69-80	18%
Jan 13, 2021	112	Colorado St.	L	79-87	25%
Jan 15, 2021	112	Colorado St.	L	79-87	26%
Jan 21, 2021	180	@ New Mexico	L	80-89	23%
Jan 23, 2021	180	@ New Mexico	L	80-89	23%
Jan 27, 2021	225	Air Force	W	82-81	51%
Jan 29, 2021	225	Air Force	W	82-81	52%
Feb 08, 2021	36	@ San Diego St.	L	64-85	4%
Feb 10, 2021	36	@ San Diego St.	L	64-85	4%
Feb 13, 2021	104	Nevada	L	80-88	25%
Feb 15, 2021	104	Nevada	L	80-88	25%
Feb 19, 2021	102	UNLV	L	74-83	24%
Feb 21, 2021	102	UNLV	L	74-83	24%
Feb 25, 2021	169	@ Wyoming	L	71-80	23%
Feb 27, 2021	169	@ Wyoming	L	71-80	23%
Projected Record						5 - 18	4 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1						0.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0							1.1	4th
5th									0.1	0.6	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0									2.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	0.9	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0										3.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	1.5	2.2	1.2	0.2	0.0											5.5	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	2.6	3.5	1.8	0.4	0.0												9.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.5	2.1	4.8	4.5	2.0	0.4	0.0													14.3	9th
10th		0.2	2.4	6.2	7.6	5.5	2.2	0.4	0.0														24.5	10th
11th	5.1	9.2	11.4	8.0	4.0	1.1	0.2	0.0															38.9	11th

Total	5.1	9.4	13.7	14.6	13.8	12.2	9.9	7.5	5.5	3.5	2.1	1.3	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0						Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-4	15.0%	0.0		0.0		0.0
15-5	14.0%	0.0		0.0		0.0
14-6	4.2%	0.0		0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	0.0%																							0.0
16-4	0.1%		15.0%		15.0%	11.1												0.0	0.0					0.1		15.0%
15-5	0.1%		5.8%	4.7%	1.2%	11.8											0.0		0.0	0.0				0.1		1.2%
14-6	0.2%		16.7%	16.7%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
13-7	0.4%		5.1%	2.9%	2.1%	12.2											0.0			0.0	0.0			0.4		2.2%
12-8	0.7%		3.8%	3.8%		13.3													0.0	0.0		0.0		0.7
11-9	1.3%		2.8%	2.8%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.3
10-10	2.1%		1.2%	1.2%		14.6															0.0	0.0		2.0
9-11	3.5%		1.2%	1.2%		15.0														0.0		0.0	0.0	3.4
8-12	5.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
7-13	7.5%																							7.5
6-14	9.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
5-15	12.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
4-16	13.8%																							13.8
3-17	14.6%																							14.6
2-18	13.7%																							13.7
1-19	9.4%																							9.4
0-20	5.1%																							5.1

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	13.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	3.4%